What happens to silver after it rises 5% in a day?
Since 1968, silver was higher 3 months after a one-day rise of 5% or more in 109 of 256 cases (43%), with a median move of −4.0% and an average of −0.6%. Over all 3-month periods since 1968, it rose 52% of the time, with a median of +0.4%. The next day it was higher in 107 of 256 cases (median −0.4%).
Cases since 1968
256
5% one-day rises
After 1 day (median)
−0.4%
higher in 107 of 256
After 1 month (median)
−1.7%
higher in 110 of 256
After 3 months (median)
−4.0%
higher in 109 of 256
After 12 months (median)
−9.1%
higher in 94 of 229
Where things stand: The most recent rise of 5% or more in our daily closes was on June 12, 2026 (rose 6.2% to $67.86). Today silver is down 5.79%.
Silver After 5% One-Day Rises: Summary
Move from the close on the day of the big move (the big day itself is not counted). "All days" is every trading day since 1968, for comparison.
| 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cases | 256 | 256 | 256 | 256 | 253 | 229 |
| Median | −0.4% | −0.5% | −1.7% | −4.0% | −4.4% | −9.1% |
| Average | −0.6% | −1.0% | −0.2% | −0.6% | −0.4% | +2.5% |
| Higher in | 42% (107/256) | 46% (118/256) | 43% (110/256) | 43% (109/256) | 44% (112/253) | 41% (94/229) |
| Best | +24.1% Dec 31, 1979 | +35.1% Jan 11, 1980 | +111.2% Dec 18, 1979 | +183.0% Oct 19, 1979 | +225.7% Sep 3, 1979 | +446.5% Feb 12, 1979 |
| Worst | −22.7% Apr 27, 1987 | −41.5% Mar 24, 1980 | −60.0% Feb 28, 1980 | −70.5% Jan 18, 1980 | −68.9% Jan 18, 1980 | −70.0% Jan 18, 1980 |
| All days: median | 0.0% | +0.1% | 0.0% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| All days: higher in | 49% | 51% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
Periods overlap when events are close together (for example a run of cuts six weeks apart), so the 6- and 12-month figures share much of the same price history.
Average path over the next 3 months
% from the close on the big day, average of all casesBreakdown
Median move and how often silver was higher, by type of case.
| Cases | n | 1 day | 1 month | 3 months | 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All 5% one-day rises | 256 | −0.4% 42% up | −1.7% 43% up | −4.0% 43% up | −9.1% 41% up |
| Rises of 5–10% | 223 | −0.4% 43% up | −1.2% 46% up | −2.5% 45% up | −5.4% 43% up |
| Rises of 10% or more | 33 | −3.2% 36% up | −9.2% 24% up | −17.9% 24% up | −29.2% 29% up |
| In an uptrend (above the 200-day average) | 168 | −0.5% 39% up | −3.2% 40% up | −6.2% 39% up | −10.2% 38% up |
| In a downtrend (below the 200-day average) | 86 | −0.3% 48% up | −0.9% 48% up | −0.3% 50% up | −4.8% 47% up |
| First big rise in more than a month | 81 | −0.3% 41% up | +1.0% 53% up | −1.8% 47% up | +1.9% 54% up |
| Within a month of another | 175 | −0.5% 42% up | −3.2% 38% up | −5.4% 41% up | −13.3% 34% up |
| Since 2000 | 109 | −0.4% 45% up | −1.5% 46% up | −3.9% 43% up | +3.9% 62% up |
| Since 2015 | 56 | +0.6% 57% up | −1.6% 45% up | −5.9% 39% up | +8.3% 62% up |
Every Case
5% one-day rises since 1968, newest first. Silver price is the close on the day of the move (US dollars per ounce).
| Date | Event | Silver at that close | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Rose 6.2% to $67.86 | $67.86 | +3.3% | −3.4% | −15.8% | −6.4% | — | — |
| May 11, 2026 | Rose 6.3% to $85.49 | $85.49 | −0.4% | −9.8% | −24.4% | −24.2% | — | — |
| May 6, 2026 | Rose 5.1% to $76.81 | $76.81 | +3.8% | +15.7% | −10.2% | −20.0% | — | — |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Rose 5.1% to $79.39 | $79.39 | +0.1% | −3.8% | +12.0% | −28.1% | −25.5% | — |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Rose 6.2% to $74.69 | $74.69 | +1.6% | +0.7% | −1.5% | −19.6% | −19.5% | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Rose 6.0% to $89.08 | $89.08 | −4.5% | −10.7% | −14.4% | −26.9% | −23.7% | — |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Rose 6.5% to $92.68 | $92.68 | −4.7% | −9.6% | −24.1% | −18.4% | −27.7% | — |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Rose 5.2% to $86.52 | $86.52 | +1.1% | +2.0% | −19.9% | −12.3% | −20.8% | — |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Rose 6.1% to $82.28 | $82.28 | +5.2% | +12.6% | −16.1% | −7.1% | −15.6% | — |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Rose 5.5% to $77.51 | $77.51 | +0.1% | +17.3% | −8.5% | −3.5% | −15.2% | — |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Rose 6.9% to $82.07 | $82.07 | −2.3% | −10.5% | +3.7% | +4.2% | −21.1% | — |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Rose 8.2% to $83.04 | $83.04 | +1.4% | −3.4% | −1.6% | −12.0% | −25.2% | — |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Rose 7.2% to $113.11 | $113.11 | +0.8% | −25.6% | −18.1% | −36.7% | −48.0% | — |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Rose 14.0% to $115.08 Twice the threshold | $115.08 | −8.3% | −33.3% | −21.0% | −34.8% | −50.2% | — |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Rose 5.2% to $100.93 | $100.93 | +14.0% | −22.4% | −13.3% | −24.3% | −42.1% | — |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Rose 6.9% to $94.21 | $94.21 | −2.1% | +12.0% | −17.7% | −18.9% | −36.3% | — |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Rose 5.8% to $90.87 | $90.87 | +1.1% | +5.6% | −14.3% | −13.5% | −38.3% | — |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Rose 7.3% to $84.61 | $84.61 | +1.5% | +11.3% | −1.0% | −6.2% | −32.5% | — |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Rose 5.6% to $78.88 | $78.88 | +7.3% | +11.7% | +1.7% | −4.3% | −25.5% | — |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Rose 5.7% to $80.53 | $80.53 | −4.2% | +6.6% | −5.0% | −6.6% | −25.0% | — |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Rose 7.9% to $76.16 | $76.16 | +5.7% | +11.1% | +10.5% | −5.7% | −23.6% | — |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Rose 10.8% to $77.37 Twice the threshold | $77.37 | −9.4% | −0.3% | +1.2% | −1.9% | −21.6% | — |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Rose 7.7% to $76.49 | $76.49 | −8.7% | −0.4% | +47.9% | −8.1% | −22.2% | — |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Rose 5.6% to $66.24 | $66.24 | −2.5% | +7.2% | +42.2% | +4.7% | −1.1% | — |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Rose 5.9% to $63.93 | $63.93 | −4.0% | +1.0% | +34.3% | +25.6% | +9.6% | — |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Rose 6.7% to $56.45 | $56.45 | +3.5% | +3.5% | +37.1% | +46.9% | +33.4% | — |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Rose 5.4% to $53.33 | $53.33 | −0.5% | −4.8% | +15.1% | +46.0% | +44.7% | — |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Rose 6.8% to $50.13 | $50.13 | +0.4% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +71.3% | +58.6% | +10.8% |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Rose 5.1% to $34.56 | $34.56 | −0.2% | +6.1% | +5.4% | +16.3% | +63.3% | +117.9% |
| May 28, 2024 | Rose 5.4% to $31.97 | $31.97 | +0.7% | −7.8% | −9.5% | −6.3% | −5.5% | +4.1% |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Rose 6.4% to $24.10 | $24.10 | −0.9% | +0.9% | −6.6% | +4.1% | +21.7% | +27.4% |
| Mar 13, 2023 | Rose 7.0% to $21.79 | $21.79 | +0.6% | +3.4% | +16.6% | +10.1% | +6.1% | +14.5% |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Rose 5.0% to $22.64 | $22.64 | +1.8% | +1.9% | +6.3% | −7.3% | +4.0% | +8.5% |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Rose 7.0% to $20.79 | $20.79 | +0.5% | +4.1% | +6.4% | +6.4% | +23.6% | +8.3% |
| Oct 3, 2022 | Rose 8.2% to $20.52 | $20.52 | +2.5% | −4.7% | −4.1% | +17.3% | +21.9% | +2.1% |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Rose 5.9% to $19.76 | $19.76 | −1.8% | −2.4% | −1.7% | +19.1% | +11.0% | +16.0% |
| Jul 28, 2022 | Rose 6.9% to $19.83 | $19.83 | +1.7% | +1.4% | −5.5% | −1.8% | +18.7% | +25.4% |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Rose 9.3% to $29.40 | $29.40 | −10.3% | −6.2% | −10.3% | −8.4% | −13.1% | −23.8% |
| Dec 1, 2020 | Rose 6.7% to $24.03 | $24.03 | 0.0% | +2.7% | +9.6% | +5.8% | +14.3% | −7.2% |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Rose 5.5% to $25.17 | $25.17 | +1.9% | −3.5% | −1.7% | +9.5% | +9.2% | −4.0% |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Rose 5.2% to $25.07 | $25.07 | +0.6% | −2.8% | −5.5% | +0.7% | +1.4% | −9.7% |
| Aug 17, 2020 | Rose 6.1% to $27.64 | $27.64 | +1.5% | −3.8% | −1.0% | −10.4% | −1.2% | −14.5% |
| Aug 13, 2020 | Rose 6.7% to $27.69 | $27.69 | −5.9% | −2.1% | −1.7% | −12.4% | −1.3% | −14.2% |
| Aug 10, 2020 | Rose 6.2% to $29.25 | $29.25 | −11.0% | −5.5% | −7.8% | −12.3% | −6.3% | −20.1% |
| Aug 6, 2020 | Rose 5.6% to $28.39 | $28.39 | −3.0% | −2.4% | −6.4% | −15.9% | −4.8% | −14.4% |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Rose 6.7% to $26.01 | $26.01 | +3.3% | +0.1% | +4.8% | −7.7% | +3.3% | −2.2% |
| Jul 27, 2020 | Rose 7.3% to $24.48 | $24.48 | −0.9% | −0.4% | +7.3% | +0.6% | +4.3% | +0.6% |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Rose 7.4% to $23.08 | $23.08 | −0.6% | +5.2% | +17.5% | +8.0% | +11.9% | +9.9% |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Rose 6.8% to $21.50 | $21.50 | +7.4% | +12.9% | +27.1% | +14.7% | +19.7% | +17.4% |
| May 15, 2020 | Rose 5.6% to $17.05 | $17.05 | +2.5% | +3.6% | +3.4% | +52.9% | +42.5% | +65.8% |
| Apr 9, 2020 | Rose 5.6% to $16.00 | $16.00 | −3.2% | −4.7% | −2.2% | +18.7% | +49.0% | +55.4% |
| Mar 24, 2020 | Rose 7.6% to $14.23 | $14.23 | +4.3% | −0.9% | +7.9% | +26.9% | +71.8% | +77.1% |
| Mar 23, 2020 | Rose 7.1% to $13.23 | $13.23 | +7.6% | +6.4% | +15.5% | +35.3% | +83.7% | +90.5% |
| Jul 1, 2016 | Rose 5.6% to $19.75 | $19.75 | +2.8% | +2.5% | +3.5% | −2.9% | −19.5% | −16.3% |
| Oct 2, 2015 | Rose 5.2% to $15.24 | $15.24 | +2.6% | +3.9% | +1.1% | −9.2% | +0.5% | +29.8% |
| Jan 16, 2015 | Rose 5.2% to $17.79 | $17.79 | −0.6% | +2.8% | −2.8% | −8.3% | −13.0% | −21.4% |
| Dec 9, 2014 | Rose 5.2% to $17.13 | $17.13 | +0.4% | −8.1% | −3.8% | −8.7% | −6.0% | −17.8% |
| Dec 1, 2014 | Rose 7.3% to $16.69 | $16.69 | −1.4% | −2.5% | −6.5% | −1.8% | +0.1% | −15.0% |
| Sep 19, 2013 | Rose 7.1% to $23.00 | $23.00 | −1.1% | −4.5% | −4.7% | −12.8% | −11.7% | −19.5% |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Rose 5.2% to $34.71 | $34.71 | −0.5% | −0.1% | −4.3% | −4.6% | −16.1% | −31.9% |
| Jan 26, 2012 | Rose 5.3% to $33.35 | $33.35 | +0.4% | +1.0% | +6.7% | −7.4% | −19.2% | −5.5% |
| Jan 23, 2012 | Rose 6.9% to $32.45 | $32.45 | −1.5% | +2.2% | +3.7% | −2.0% | −16.7% | −5.2% |
| Dec 30, 2011 | Rose 7.7% to $28.18 | $28.18 | +2.1% | +2.4% | +19.2% | +12.8% | −4.8% | +10.4% |
| Dec 1, 2011 | Rose 6.2% to $33.28 | $33.28 | −0.4% | −1.9% | −13.5% | +3.8% | −16.8% | 0.0% |
| Oct 28, 2011 | Rose 5.6% to $35.42 | $35.42 | −3.3% | −4.2% | −9.7% | −5.5% | −13.3% | −8.7% |
| Oct 6, 2011 | Rose 10.8% to $31.80 Twice the threshold | $31.80 | +0.6% | +0.5% | +6.8% | −9.1% | +3.7% | +6.8% |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Rose 19.0% to $33.50 Crash-size move | $33.50 | −7.3% | −8.7% | −0.6% | −12.8% | −5.9% | +1.7% |
| Aug 26, 2011 | Rose 5.3% to $41.06 | $41.06 | −1.3% | +3.5% | −31.4% | −23.3% | −17.0% | −31.3% |
| Jul 18, 2011 | Rose 5.7% to $40.33 | $40.33 | 0.0% | +1.1% | −2.4% | −20.7% | −24.2% | −32.5% |
| Jul 14, 2011 | Rose 7.2% to $39.40 | $39.40 | −3.1% | +1.0% | −2.8% | −20.4% | −24.6% | −28.1% |
| Jul 13, 2011 | Rose 5.3% to $36.75 | $36.75 | +7.2% | +5.0% | +6.6% | −12.3% | −21.5% | −23.5% |
| May 13, 2011 | Rose 11.4% to $36.20 Twice the threshold | $36.20 | −5.1% | −3.9% | −4.2% | +8.2% | −4.3% | −16.9% |
| May 9, 2011 | Rose 11.1% to $38.00 Twice the threshold | $38.00 | +1.1% | −9.6% | −4.7% | +3.3% | −11.0% | −19.0% |
| Apr 28, 2011 | Rose 7.5% to $48.70 | $48.70 | −0.2% | −22.3% | −22.6% | −16.2% | −34.9% | −34.7% |
| Mar 14, 2011 | Rose 6.1% to $36.18 | $36.18 | −6.4% | −0.1% | +11.8% | −1.9% | +16.5% | −8.2% |
| Mar 7, 2011 | Rose 6.3% to $36.60 | $36.60 | −0.6% | −1.1% | +4.0% | +0.7% | +13.3% | −2.7% |
| Dec 1, 2010 | Rose 5.9% to $28.74 | $28.74 | −0.8% | +1.0% | +6.8% | +16.5% | +31.1% | +10.8% |
| Nov 18, 2010 | Rose 5.4% to $26.57 | $26.57 | +1.9% | +3.3% | +8.3% | +15.6% | +29.3% | +30.1% |
| Nov 9, 2010 | Rose 6.8% to $28.55 | $28.55 | −3.6% | −10.8% | +1.6% | +1.3% | +32.5% | +19.9% |
| Jun 8, 2010 | Rose 5.6% to $18.34 | $18.34 | −0.4% | +0.4% | −3.8% | +7.2% | +56.7% | +105.5% |
| May 12, 2010 | Rose 6.4% to $19.59 | $19.59 | −0.8% | −5.4% | −6.5% | −7.7% | +33.4% | +122.6% |
| Nov 4, 2009 | Rose 6.9% to $17.48 | $17.48 | −0.6% | +0.9% | +9.3% | −3.9% | +7.0% | +35.8% |
| Sep 3, 2009 | Rose 5.5% to $15.73 | $15.73 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +3.1% | +19.0% | +5.3% | +21.0% |
| Aug 13, 2009 | Rose 5.5% to $15.07 | $15.07 | −0.6% | −6.8% | +12.1% | +14.5% | +0.9% | +21.4% |
| May 4, 2009 | Rose 7.8% to $13.09 | $13.09 | +0.1% | +6.2% | +22.0% | +4.1% | +24.7% | +38.7% |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Rose 6.6% to $12.51 | $12.51 | −0.6% | +3.0% | +5.0% | +1.0% | +8.7% | +37.2% |
| Jan 26, 2009 | Rose 5.6% to $12.10 | $12.10 | −1.6% | +2.7% | +18.9% | +5.6% | +13.7% | +52.9% |
| Jan 7, 2009 | Rose 5.2% to $11.41 | $11.41 | −4.6% | −5.6% | +12.2% | +8.8% | +14.2% | +48.3% |
| Nov 24, 2008 | Rose 9.5% to $10.04 | $10.04 | +2.9% | −1.3% | +6.6% | +43.0% | +46.0% | +80.3% |
| Nov 3, 2008 | Rose 8.3% to $10.05 | $10.05 | −1.0% | +2.6% | −6.4% | +23.7% | +20.9% | +69.8% |
| Oct 30, 2008 | Rose 6.8% to $10.02 | $10.02 | −7.4% | +3.9% | +1.0% | +17.2% | +24.8% | +76.1% |
| Sep 22, 2008 | Rose 6.9% to $12.99 | $12.99 | +3.0% | +0.5% | −24.1% | −13.1% | +1.1% | +27.2% |
| Sep 18, 2008 | Rose 20.1% to $12.93 Crash-size move | $12.93 | −6.0% | +3.2% | −26.1% | −18.8% | −0.5% | +30.6% |
| Aug 27, 2008 | Rose 5.4% to $13.76 | $13.76 | +0.1% | −7.0% | −3.1% | −27.0% | +4.4% | +2.0% |
| Mar 13, 2008 | Rose 5.5% to $20.79 | $20.79 | −1.8% | −15.7% | −16.1% | −20.2% | −42.1% | −35.3% |
| Mar 6, 2008 | Rose 6.8% to $20.80 | $20.80 | −2.8% | 0.0% | −13.7% | −20.0% | −36.6% | −36.5% |
| Feb 27, 2008 | Rose 6.7% to $19.33 | $19.33 | −0.5% | +0.8% | −5.0% | −10.7% | −30.9% | −26.2% |
| Nov 7, 2007 | Rose 5.7% to $15.82 | $15.82 | −2.9% | −5.4% | −11.1% | +4.2% | +5.6% | −36.7% |
| Jul 20, 2006 | Rose 5.3% to $11.08 | $11.08 | −0.6% | +1.3% | +8.4% | +6.9% | +15.9% | +18.5% |
| Jul 3, 2006 | Rose 5.4% to $11.28 | $11.28 | −0.4% | −2.1% | +0.7% | +3.4% | +14.0% | +13.9% |
| May 23, 2006 | Rose 5.8% to $12.87 | $12.87 | −0.5% | +2.0% | −18.1% | −4.9% | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| May 1, 2006 | Rose 10.3% to $13.85 Twice the threshold | $13.85 | +0.5% | −0.7% | −5.2% | −18.1% | −15.2% | +1.3% |
| Apr 17, 2006 | Rose 5.8% to $13.34 | $13.34 | +2.2% | −4.2% | −0.9% | −12.8% | −16.5% | +3.7% |
| Mar 30, 2006 | Rose 5.2% to $11.45 | $11.45 | +2.7% | +5.1% | +21.0% | −9.3% | −3.0% | +16.8% |
| Feb 11, 2005 | Rose 6.1% to $6.98 | $6.98 | +3.9% | +4.9% | +7.2% | +0.4% | +1.3% | +39.8% |
| Oct 6, 2004 | Rose 6.1% to $7.15 | $7.15 | −0.3% | −5.0% | +1.5% | −9.4% | −0.6% | +2.1% |
| Apr 30, 2004 | Rose 6.8% to $5.95 | $5.95 | +1.1% | −2.5% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +22.9% | +22.5% |
| Jan 12, 2004 | Rose 6.4% to $6.65 | $6.65 | −0.5% | −4.7% | −3.2% | +21.7% | −6.8% | +2.6% |
| Jan 6, 2004 | Rose 5.0% to $6.28 | $6.28 | −1.0% | +5.4% | −3.2% | +32.0% | −6.2% | +11.0% |
| Mar 23, 1998 | Rose 6.6% to $6.32 | $6.32 | +2.2% | +0.5% | 0.0% | −15.5% | −22.5% | −19.8% |
| Feb 27, 1998 | Rose 5.3% to $6.37 | $6.37 | +3.8% | −0.9% | −0.3% | −19.6% | −24.8% | −12.4% |
| Feb 5, 1998 | Rose 7.1% to $7.55 | $7.55 | +3.4% | −7.3% | −16.4% | −20.4% | −28.2% | −25.6% |
| Feb 4, 1998 | Rose 10.3% to $7.05 Twice the threshold | $7.05 | +7.1% | +0.6% | −10.4% | −16.6% | −22.4% | −21.4% |
| Dec 10, 1997 | Rose 7.7% to $5.89 | $5.89 | −1.0% | +1.5% | −6.1% | +7.1% | −12.2% | −18.8% |
| Sep 29, 1997 | Rose 6.2% to $5.11 | $5.11 | +2.3% | +1.6% | −5.7% | +24.3% | +24.5% | +1.6% |
| Feb 12, 1997 | Rose 6.2% to $5.13 | $5.13 | +0.2% | +1.0% | +2.7% | −5.3% | −13.1% | +52.2% |
| Apr 17, 1995 | Rose 7.0% to $5.71 | $5.71 | +2.5% | −1.1% | −5.3% | −6.3% | −5.3% | −4.0% |
| Apr 3, 1995 | Rose 10.8% to $5.29 Twice the threshold | $5.29 | +0.1% | −0.9% | +11.6% | −4.4% | +4.1% | +4.6% |
| May 9, 1994 | Rose 6.5% to $5.40 | $5.40 | −0.1% | 0.0% | −1.2% | −4.1% | −1.4% | −1.6% |
| Dec 6, 1993 | Rose 5.0% to $4.84 | $4.84 | −0.1% | +5.4% | +5.6% | +7.0% | +10.6% | −2.1% |
| Dec 2, 1993 | Rose 5.2% to $4.66 | $4.66 | −1.1% | +6.8% | +12.3% | +11.3% | +13.3% | +5.5% |
| Jul 2, 1993 | Rose 6.3% to $4.84 | $4.84 | +1.0% | +3.2% | +12.1% | −16.6% | +5.6% | +10.8% |
| May 19, 1993 | Rose 7.7% to $4.74 | $4.74 | −4.9% | −4.0% | −8.5% | −0.2% | −4.8% | +14.7% |
| May 13, 1993 | Rose 6.8% to $4.52 | $4.52 | −1.9% | −0.2% | −6.6% | +5.9% | +0.5% | +19.5% |
| Apr 29, 1993 | Rose 7.8% to $4.36 | $4.36 | −1.4% | +0.1% | +5.8% | +18.0% | +0.6% | +18.5% |
| Jun 7, 1991 | Rose 5.9% to $4.49 | $4.49 | +1.8% | +0.4% | +0.3% | −14.0% | −9.5% | −9.1% |
| Jul 20, 1988 | Rose 9.4% to $7.82 | $7.82 | −0.8% | −11.4% | −15.0% | −18.0% | −24.1% | −33.2% |
| Jun 3, 1988 | Rose 6.8% to $7.22 | $7.22 | +0.2% | −1.2% | −7.0% | −9.3% | −15.0% | −27.7% |
| Oct 19, 1987 | Rose 6.3% to $8.31 | $8.31 | −5.7% | −8.8% | −19.0% | −19.3% | −22.7% | −23.7% |
| May 18, 1987 | Rose 6.5% to $9.44 | $9.44 | −3.8% | −15.0% | −20.8% | −19.2% | −28.9% | −30.3% |
| May 5, 1987 | Rose 12.8% to $8.95 Twice the threshold | $8.95 | −8.5% | −2.9% | −14.7% | −3.9% | −21.8% | −29.4% |
| Apr 27, 1987 | Rose 19.6% to $10.93 Crash-size move | $10.93 | −22.7% | −18.1% | −31.5% | −29.7% | −30.7% | −41.6% |
| Apr 24, 1987 | Rose 10.1% to $9.14 Twice the threshold | $9.14 | +19.6% | −13.2% | −20.2% | −15.9% | −17.6% | −29.8% |
| Apr 23, 1987 | Rose 5.9% to $8.30 | $8.30 | +10.1% | −2.1% | −3.3% | −6.7% | −9.6% | −22.8% |
| Apr 21, 1987 | Rose 9.1% to $7.84 | $7.84 | 0.0% | +7.7% | +14.4% | −2.2% | −0.1% | −17.5% |
| Apr 15, 1987 | Rose 5.4% to $7.24 | $7.24 | −0.7% | +26.2% | +25.4% | +6.5% | +7.9% | −10.3% |
| Aug 11, 1986 | Rose 5.6% to $5.49 | $5.49 | −1.2% | −5.2% | +5.3% | +3.9% | +0.7% | +40.8% |
| Mar 27, 1985 | Rose 5.2% to $6.59 | $6.59 | −0.4% | −1.4% | −5.3% | −7.3% | −6.6% | −15.5% |
| Mar 20, 1985 | Rose 6.9% to $6.46 | $6.46 | −5.4% | +2.0% | −0.3% | −5.4% | −8.2% | −11.9% |
| Mar 19, 1985 | Rose 5.8% to $6.04 | $6.04 | +6.9% | +3.7% | +6.0% | +4.1% | −2.6% | −4.8% |
| Sep 24, 1984 | Rose 7.1% to $7.65 | $7.65 | −1.7% | −2.6% | −5.2% | −18.7% | −17.6% | −19.3% |
| Aug 10, 1984 | Rose 5.4% to $7.89 | $7.89 | −3.8% | −0.4% | −8.8% | −2.5% | −22.9% | −20.5% |
| Nov 30, 1983 | Rose 8.8% to $9.81 | $9.81 | −2.3% | −2.5% | −8.7% | −1.9% | −4.4% | −27.3% |
| Oct 6, 1983 | Rose 6.3% to $10.35 | $10.35 | −0.3% | −0.9% | −14.0% | −18.7% | −9.6% | −26.8% |
| Jan 17, 1983 | Rose 5.5% to $12.97 | $12.97 | −2.2% | −6.0% | +13.1% | −5.2% | −7.9% | −37.9% |
| Jan 10, 1983 | Rose 7.0% to $12.02 | $12.02 | +1.7% | +7.9% | +17.3% | −7.6% | +0.5% | −34.3% |
| Dec 14, 1982 | Rose 5.1% to $10.82 | $10.82 | −4.7% | −3.1% | +19.9% | +0.1% | +8.3% | −13.3% |
| Dec 7, 1982 | Rose 6.7% to $11.06 | $11.06 | −2.5% | −2.2% | +8.7% | −4.2% | +6.1% | −14.1% |
| Dec 1, 1982 | Rose 6.3% to $10.14 | $10.14 | −0.1% | +6.3% | +9.1% | +7.9% | +15.6% | −3.3% |
| Oct 21, 1982 | Rose 5.5% to $10.46 | $10.46 | −1.9% | −6.7% | −6.0% | +22.6% | +14.9% | −9.1% |
| Oct 19, 1982 | Rose 6.9% to $10.24 | $10.24 | −3.2% | −2.8% | −5.0% | +28.0% | +16.3% | −1.2% |
| Oct 8, 1982 | Rose 5.2% to $8.91 | $8.91 | +2.2% | +9.3% | +14.8% | +35.0% | +24.8% | +15.9% |
| Sep 9, 1982 | Rose 5.1% to $9.33 | $9.33 | −6.2% | −1.8% | −4.5% | +18.6% | +13.6% | +30.5% |
| Sep 3, 1982 | Rose 13.7% to $8.80 Twice the threshold | $8.80 | +4.0% | −0.5% | −7.6% | +15.2% | +24.3% | +38.5% |
| Aug 23, 1982 | Rose 5.3% to $7.85 | $7.85 | +3.9% | −1.5% | +15.9% | +25.2% | +84.2% | +57.7% |
| Aug 20, 1982 | Rose 7.0% to $7.45 | $7.45 | +5.3% | +10.7% | +16.9% | +28.7% | +93.9% | +64.0% |
| Aug 18, 1982 | Rose 9.7% to $6.96 | $6.96 | 0.0% | +12.9% | +29.0% | +36.2% | +109.8% | +79.3% |
| Jul 21, 1982 | Rose 9.9% to $7.05 | $7.05 | −1.2% | −0.8% | −1.2% | +45.3% | +86.0% | +73.9% |
| Jul 14, 1982 | Rose 6.1% to $6.62 | $6.62 | −2.1% | +6.5% | −5.6% | +42.6% | +82.7% | +83.5% |
| Jul 9, 1982 | Rose 8.8% to $6.24 | $6.24 | +1.1% | +2.4% | +5.4% | +35.8% | +80.1% | +92.9% |
| Jun 30, 1982 | Rose 6.9% to $5.73 | $5.73 | −0.3% | −3.5% | +16.9% | +44.2% | +87.6% | +103.0% |
| Jun 29, 1982 | Rose 5.1% to $5.36 | $5.36 | +6.9% | +9.3% | +30.4% | +58.3% | +98.3% | +116.2% |
| Sep 10, 1981 | Rose 7.2% to $10.92 | $10.92 | −1.3% | +1.2% | −13.1% | −19.6% | −34.1% | −19.9% |
| Aug 18, 1981 | Rose 5.1% to $9.43 | $9.43 | +3.1% | −7.7% | +17.2% | −12.0% | −9.1% | −26.2% |
| Aug 12, 1981 | Rose 5.0% to $8.98 | $8.98 | −0.8% | +8.2% | +20.1% | −1.0% | −3.6% | −30.4% |
| Feb 4, 1981 | Rose 6.9% to $13.33 | $13.33 | −1.0% | +0.1% | −15.5% | −18.2% | −36.8% | −36.9% |
| Dec 15, 1980 | Rose 11.9% to $16.00 Twice the threshold | $16.00 | −9.7% | −0.6% | −7.1% | −19.6% | −38.1% | −45.6% |
| Nov 10, 1980 | Rose 6.0% to $18.55 | $18.55 | −5.1% | −2.2% | −7.3% | −28.0% | −41.4% | −53.5% |
| Oct 1, 1980 | Rose 6.1% to $21.75 | $21.75 | −2.5% | −4.8% | −10.6% | −28.7% | −44.7% | −57.1% |
| Sep 22, 1980 | Rose 9.4% to $22.92 | $22.92 | +1.4% | −7.0% | −14.1% | −31.9% | −41.9% | −55.6% |
| Sep 17, 1980 | Rose 10.0% to $21.75 | $21.75 | −3.8% | +8.2% | −3.4% | −26.4% | −40.9% | −53.7% |
| Sep 12, 1980 | Rose 11.5% to $21.65 Twice the threshold | $21.65 | −8.9% | −3.2% | −1.8% | −25.6% | −43.9% | −49.1% |
| Sep 10, 1980 | Rose 5.2% to $19.72 | $19.72 | −1.5% | +10.3% | +8.4% | −11.6% | −40.4% | −45.3% |
| Sep 8, 1980 | Rose 6.3% to $18.10 | $18.10 | +3.6% | +9.0% | +15.2% | +2.9% | −34.8% | −43.7% |
| Jun 13, 1980 | Rose 5.6% to $16.15 | $16.15 | −0.9% | −2.7% | −1.6% | +20.2% | +6.5% | −34.7% |
| Jun 6, 1980 | Rose 6.4% to $17.03 | $17.03 | +4.8% | −5.1% | −1.3% | −4.4% | +9.4% | −40.7% |
| Jun 5, 1980 | Rose 5.6% to $16.00 | $16.00 | +6.4% | −4.4% | +5.6% | +1.3% | +18.1% | −37.5% |
| Jun 4, 1980 | Rose 6.9% to $15.15 | $15.15 | +5.6% | +2.0% | +10.7% | +6.8% | +21.6% | −33.8% |
| Jun 2, 1980 | Rose 6.9% to $14.65 | $14.65 | −3.3% | +21.8% | +16.7% | +9.6% | +26.8% | −28.5% |
| May 28, 1980 | Rose 13.7% to $13.98 Twice the threshold | $13.98 | −6.5% | +8.4% | +15.2% | +15.2% | +37.8% | −24.5% |
| May 27, 1980 | Rose 8.1% to $12.30 | $12.30 | +13.7% | +15.2% | +30.7% | +31.6% | +56.9% | −16.7% |
| May 2, 1980 | Rose 9.2% to $13.10 | $13.10 | +2.3% | −2.7% | +15.6% | +19.2% | +48.5% | −16.9% |
| Apr 25, 1980 | Rose 8.9% to $15.52 | $15.52 | −11.4% | −15.6% | −9.9% | +7.3% | +22.4% | −27.6% |
| Apr 9, 1980 | Rose 5.9% to $17.60 | $17.60 | −11.7% | −16.2% | −26.1% | −3.4% | +18.5% | −32.0% |
| Apr 8, 1980 | Rose 12.7% to $16.62 Twice the threshold | $16.62 | +5.9% | −12.4% | −20.4% | +5.1% | +23.3% | −25.8% |
| Apr 1, 1980 | Rose 25.9% to $16.99 Crash-size move | $16.99 | −11.8% | −8.5% | −22.9% | −1.3% | +28.0% | −29.2% |
| Mar 24, 1980 | Rose 9.6% to $23.05 | $23.05 | −7.8% | −41.5% | −38.2% | −30.3% | +0.9% | −44.9% |
| Mar 20, 1980 | Rose 9.4% to $22.60 | $22.60 | −6.9% | −29.2% | −40.0% | −31.6% | −7.3% | −42.9% |
| Mar 19, 1980 | Rose 24.4% to $20.65 Crash-size move | $20.65 | +9.4% | −4.8% | −31.2% | −23.9% | +1.4% | −37.1% |
| Mar 12, 1980 | Rose 5.3% to $29.65 | $29.65 | −8.9% | −30.4% | −46.6% | −45.5% | −34.5% | −60.4% |
| Feb 28, 1980 | Rose 6.1% to $35.01 | $35.01 | +1.5% | +1.5% | −60.0% | −58.2% | −54.1% | −64.2% |
| Feb 21, 1980 | Rose 11.7% to $33.50 Twice the threshold | $33.50 | −0.9% | +4.5% | −37.2% | −66.0% | −51.6% | −60.5% |
| Feb 11, 1980 | Rose 9.4% to $40.25 | $40.25 | −1.9% | −11.2% | −30.1% | −68.3% | −61.1% | −65.6% |
| Feb 6, 1980 | Rose 15.9% to $39.12 Crash-size move | $39.12 | −2.1% | −0.7% | −9.2% | −66.2% | −59.4% | −66.3% |
| Jan 24, 1980 | Rose 7.9% to $41.50 | $41.50 | −7.7% | −15.0% | −20.0% | −65.7% | −61.0% | −65.8% |
| Jan 18, 1980 | Rose 14.1% to $49.45 Twice the threshold | $49.45 | −0.9% | −22.5% | −27.7% | −70.5% | −68.9% | −70.0% |
| Jan 16, 1980 | Rose 9.1% to $48.01 | $48.01 | −9.7% | −19.9% | −22.0% | −69.3% | −66.8% | −68.4% |
| Jan 15, 1980 | Rose 10.7% to $44.00 Twice the threshold | $44.00 | +9.1% | −5.6% | −11.7% | −66.9% | −64.8% | −65.9% |
| Jan 14, 1980 | Rose 8.6% to $39.75 | $39.75 | +10.7% | +23.3% | −0.7% | −60.2% | −60.0% | −62.4% |
| Jan 11, 1980 | Rose 7.8% to $36.61 | $36.61 | +8.6% | +35.1% | +9.9% | −57.3% | −55.7% | −59.5% |
| Jan 7, 1980 | Rose 19.1% to $39.00 Crash-size move | $39.00 | −14.1% | +1.9% | −13.4% | −62.2% | −56.9% | −58.2% |
| Jan 2, 1980 | Rose 24.1% to $39.95 Crash-size move | $39.95 | −7.4% | −17.0% | −11.7% | −66.2% | −56.7% | −61.0% |
| Dec 31, 1979 | Rose 15.6% to $32.20 Crash-size move | $32.20 | +24.1% | +4.1% | +16.0% | −56.6% | −46.9% | −49.7% |
| Dec 27, 1979 | Rose 11.8% to $27.51 Twice the threshold | $27.51 | +1.2% | +19.0% | +28.3% | −28.6% | −40.9% | −41.3% |
| Dec 18, 1979 | Rose 7.4% to $23.21 | $23.21 | +2.9% | +18.5% | +111.2% | −11.0% | −32.3% | −37.7% |
| Nov 28, 1979 | Rose 7.5% to $17.97 | $17.97 | +3.8% | +6.3% | +79.2% | +94.8% | −18.5% | +3.3% |
| Oct 19, 1979 | Rose 6.8% to $17.31 | $17.31 | +0.8% | −4.8% | −5.4% | +183.0% | −18.0% | +19.0% |
| Oct 9, 1979 | Rose 5.9% to $16.20 | $16.20 | +4.3% | +7.8% | +3.3% | +104.6% | +8.6% | +28.7% |
| Oct 2, 1979 | Rose 5.9% to $18.10 | $18.10 | −6.1% | −10.5% | −8.3% | +120.7% | −25.4% | +13.3% |
| Oct 1, 1979 | Rose 5.2% to $17.09 | $17.09 | +5.9% | −10.5% | −6.3% | +88.4% | −18.1% | +24.7% |
| Sep 27, 1979 | Rose 10.8% to $16.31 Twice the threshold | $16.31 | −0.4% | −8.6% | +1.1% | +68.7% | +20.5% | +31.2% |
| Sep 24, 1979 | Rose 14.0% to $16.00 Twice the threshold | $16.00 | −7.8% | +6.8% | +6.3% | +46.9% | +31.4% | +43.3% |
| Sep 20, 1979 | Rose 6.6% to $16.50 | $16.50 | −14.9% | −1.2% | +4.9% | +40.6% | +25.2% | +26.8% |
| Sep 18, 1979 | Rose 36.6% to $18.30 Crash-size move | $18.30 | −15.4% | −19.4% | −8.2% | +14.2% | +3.9% | +8.1% |
| Sep 14, 1979 | Rose 8.9% to $13.00 | $13.00 | +3.1% | +8.0% | +36.5% | +54.9% | +107.7% | +66.5% |
| Sep 6, 1979 | Rose 9.3% to $12.55 | $12.55 | −6.6% | −4.8% | +21.9% | +55.5% | +189.4% | +29.8% |
| Sep 3, 1979 | Rose 5.7% to $10.91 | $10.91 | +0.4% | +11.9% | +66.0% | +71.1% | +225.7% | +46.6% |
| Feb 12, 1979 | Rose 5.2% to $7.37 | $7.37 | −3.4% | +4.4% | −3.2% | +15.0% | +23.4% | +446.5% |
| Feb 5, 1979 | Rose 7.0% to $7.08 | $7.08 | −0.2% | +4.1% | +4.4% | +17.0% | +25.2% | +387.4% |
| Jul 29, 1975 | Rose 5.7% to $5.13 | $5.13 | +0.1% | −0.3% | −7.6% | −18.1% | −24.1% | −11.6% |
| Feb 19, 1975 | Rose 5.2% to $4.61 | $4.61 | −1.6% | −2.5% | −4.2% | −1.0% | +3.5% | −11.9% |
| Jan 24, 1975 | Rose 7.0% to $4.27 | $4.27 | +1.1% | −2.8% | +7.3% | +0.9% | +10.0% | −8.7% |
| Jan 13, 1975 | Rose 5.6% to $4.42 | $4.42 | −3.1% | −9.7% | −4.6% | −7.3% | +3.4% | −4.3% |
| Oct 10, 1974 | Rose 7.5% to $4.97 | $4.97 | −4.5% | −10.0% | −1.7% | −15.8% | −15.9% | −11.1% |
| Oct 3, 1974 | Rose 5.8% to $4.68 | $4.68 | +3.1% | +6.3% | +4.5% | −7.1% | −11.6% | −3.8% |
| Aug 14, 1974 | Rose 5.3% to $4.61 | $4.61 | −5.6% | −6.4% | −14.4% | +6.3% | −5.1% | +7.8% |
| Jul 29, 1974 | Rose 6.0% to $4.98 | $4.98 | +1.1% | −9.8% | −16.2% | +2.3% | −13.4% | −3.3% |
| Jul 25, 1974 | Rose 5.8% to $4.72 | $4.72 | −0.5% | +4.9% | −6.8% | +2.6% | −15.5% | −1.4% |
| Jul 15, 1974 | Rose 7.0% to $4.05 | $4.05 | +2.3% | +3.2% | +7.9% | +17.2% | +9.1% | +12.8% |
| Jul 8, 1974 | Rose 5.6% to $4.33 | $4.33 | +0.7% | −6.4% | +6.6% | +11.4% | −2.5% | +5.2% |
| Jun 13, 1974 | Rose 5.3% to $5.05 | $5.05 | −0.6% | −7.4% | −25.0% | −22.0% | −15.8% | −10.1% |
| Jun 5, 1974 | Rose 7.0% to $5.02 | $5.02 | −1.5% | −4.6% | −18.0% | −15.8% | −11.3% | −11.1% |
| May 30, 1974 | Rose 10.1% to $5.08 Twice the threshold | $5.08 | −3.2% | −2.7% | −9.2% | −17.9% | −13.9% | −9.3% |
| May 14, 1974 | Rose 7.9% to $6.02 | $6.02 | −5.9% | −10.0% | −16.1% | −28.0% | −18.7% | −24.1% |
| Apr 30, 1974 | Rose 5.3% to $5.62 | $5.62 | −3.9% | −7.3% | −9.5% | −11.4% | −9.3% | −23.0% |
| Apr 25, 1974 | Rose 5.8% to $5.58 | $5.58 | −2.8% | −2.8% | −6.6% | −20.1% | −11.3% | −23.8% |
| Apr 23, 1974 | Rose 6.5% to $5.46 | $5.46 | −3.2% | +3.0% | −0.5% | −23.3% | −15.3% | −21.4% |
| Apr 22, 1974 | Rose 7.2% to $5.12 | $5.12 | +6.5% | +4.2% | +5.8% | −14.7% | −12.6% | −15.5% |
| Apr 18, 1974 | Rose 6.3% to $4.67 | $4.67 | +2.4% | +19.6% | +23.5% | −14.5% | −0.7% | −10.4% |
| Apr 16, 1974 | Rose 5.5% to $4.58 | $4.58 | −4.1% | +19.1% | +23.6% | −11.5% | +3.7% | −10.5% |
| Apr 9, 1974 | Rose 7.6% to $4.74 | $4.74 | −0.3% | −1.5% | +15.2% | −11.0% | −2.0% | −13.4% |
| Mar 19, 1974 | Rose 8.8% to $5.62 | $5.62 | −0.4% | −7.7% | −15.0% | −15.0% | −32.0% | −21.4% |
| Mar 7, 1974 | Rose 5.6% to $5.29 | $5.29 | +2.3% | +2.0% | −5.1% | −5.3% | −23.3% | −18.0% |
| Feb 26, 1974 | Rose 13.4% to $6.76 Twice the threshold | $6.76 | −4.4% | −23.0% | −23.6% | −31.7% | −35.2% | −32.3% |
| Feb 21, 1974 | Rose 8.9% to $5.75 | $5.75 | +1.3% | −1.1% | −5.5% | −13.3% | −25.0% | −19.8% |
| Feb 15, 1974 | Rose 5.9% to $5.59 | $5.59 | −3.4% | +4.2% | −7.5% | +3.2% | −22.2% | −20.8% |
| Feb 12, 1974 | Rose 7.6% to $5.54 | $5.54 | −6.4% | −7.3% | −4.3% | +8.6% | −21.8% | −22.4% |
| Feb 11, 1974 | Rose 8.5% to $5.15 | $5.15 | +7.6% | +4.8% | +1.4% | +8.3% | −13.2% | −17.5% |
| Jan 21, 1974 | Rose 8.2% to $3.93 | $3.93 | −0.7% | +2.2% | +30.7% | +30.4% | +11.3% | +5.7% |
| Jan 17, 1974 | Rose 5.4% to $3.64 | $3.64 | −0.3% | +4.3% | +53.6% | +28.2% | +9.6% | +22.4% |
| Aug 1, 1973 | Rose 5.7% to $2.92 | $2.92 | −0.5% | −6.6% | −11.0% | −3.0% | +32.6% | +64.2% |
| Feb 22, 1973 | Rose 8.1% to $2.43 | $2.43 | +1.3% | +2.6% | −10.6% | +8.9% | +6.9% | +136.2% |
| Feb 14, 1973 | Rose 5.1% to $2.25 | $2.25 | −1.1% | 0.0% | −1.6% | +6.3% | +15.3% | +155.9% |
| Jul 28, 1972 | Rose 5.4% to $1.84 | $1.84 | −0.6% | −1.5% | +2.2% | −1.5% | +7.7% | +51.6% |
| Oct 21, 1968 | Rose 5.3% to $1.97 | $1.97 | −4.8% | −3.0% | +5.7% | +0.8% | −9.6% | −6.4% |
| Aug 14, 1968 | Rose 6.3% to $2.19 | $2.19 | +0.7% | +6.3% | +1.6% | −8.3% | −15.4% | −22.7% |
Why 5% one-day rises matter for silver
Big one-day gains in silver tend to come with fear or a sudden change in rate expectations: a banking or market crisis, a war, a weak economic report, a dovish Fed or a falling dollar. Many come in volatile, falling markets as short-covering bounces, so the trend breakdown matters.
These are historical figures, not a forecast: past reactions don't predict future prices, and each case happened in a different economy. Not financial advice.
FAQ
What happens to silver after it rises 5% in a day?
Since 1968, silver was higher 3 months after a one-day rise of 5% or more in 109 of 256 cases (43%), with a median move of −4.0% and an average of −0.6%. Over all 3-month periods since 1968, it rose 52% of the time, with a median of +0.4%. The next day it was higher in 107 of 256 cases (median −0.4%).
Does silver always go up after a 5% one-day jump?
No. Three months later it was lower in 147 of 256 cases; the worst was −70.5% after January 18, 1980 and the best +183.0% after October 19, 1979. Other forces, such as the dollar, real yields, inflation, crises and central-bank buying, often matter more than the event itself.
What did silver do after the most recent case?
After silver rose 6.2% to $67.86 on June 12, 2026, silver moved +3.3% by the next day, −15.8% after a month and −6.4% after three months.
How are these figures calculated?
Each move runs from silver's close on the day of the big move to its close 1, 5, 21, 63, 126 and 252 trading days later (1 day, 1 week and 1, 3, 6 and 12 months), so the big day itself is not counted. A big day is a close-to-close move of 5% or more in the daily closing price. Big days often come in clusters, so many cases share the same weeks; the breakdown separates the first big day in a month from the ones that followed.
More Patterns
After Fed rate cutsAfter Fed rate hikesAfter the first Fed cutAfter the last Fed hikeWhen the Fed holds ratesAfter a record highAfter a 5% one-day dropAfter US electionsAfter presidential electionsAfter midterm elections Silver price history
Sources: Silver prices: the London price from 1968 and this site's daily US-dollar closes (COMEX futures) for recent years. Calculated by Corgano; data through October 30, 2026.